...
My observations have led me to believe that, when new, the SoH is artificially understated by defining it at a lower capacity than the actual usable capacity, and preventing the BMS from outputting a value in excess of 100%. ...
No. This is false.
SoH is a measure of usable capacity. It can never go above 100%
The 'early years' buffer is a portion of the total capacity that is not available at the start.
This is achieved by stopping charging at a lower voltage when the car is new. eg 4.10V
At a later date the voltage spread is widened to maintain the usable capacity. eg 4.18V
Any value for SOH that is greater than 100% is a false construct.
This false construct had some meaning back in 2015 because the car would report the degradation from the 'early years' buffer. Since 2018 the car no longer does this. Hence since then any value for SOH that is greater than 100% should never be used.
Nothing is known about the size of the 'early years' buffer or the rate it is lost for cars from 2018 onwards.
It seems that it has changed. But that is as much as we know.
From my last comment.
It seems the BMS algorithm has been modified to alter the behavior of the 'early years' buffer during the BMS fire-safety recall. ( At least for the two 2018 cars in this thread. My two 2015 cars don't show this for now. )
We don't know the reason for this.
Maybe it is somehow related to fire-safety.
Maybe the BMS just thinks the car is new again and will reduce the 'early years' buffer over the next 3 years.
Maybe it is just a software bug and they will fix it at some point.
I have been talking about the 'early years' buffer. The adjustment to this would be temporary and may have an overall positive impact in the long-term.
But if they adjusted the 'safety buffer' to somehow reduce the fire risk, this would be a permanent loss of range. Although again it may improve longevity.
We don't know what they did. I don't why this doesn't show up on my cars. I suspect the replacement battery on the 2015 has a smaller buffer than yours. If they adjusted it then the difference would be more pronounced on mine than yours.