NYSoul said:
Here's what you're missing...
First off, it's practically a guarantee that there will be cars with close to, if not more than, double the range on the market for the same price, if not less, in the next 24-36 months. That will seriously hurt the resale value of your car, meaning that trying to sell it and upgrade will cause you to lose a significant amount of money.
I've been trying to research this claim, although, admittedly, I have not found all of the info I want to be certain... From what I can tell, the Soul is using the "next generation" battery, when compared to cars like the popular LEAF. The LEAF has used it's existing battery technology since approx 2010, and has been rumoured to be switching to the Soul's battery generation "any year now" for the past 3 years or so. Certainly the other vehicles out there are very likely to be switching in the next year or two, and will then have similar range to the Soul EV.
I have my doubts the next turn of the crank will happen as quickly as 2-3 years, given this past turn. There is more then just the next-generation technology being available, it also has to be affordable wrt the existing in-production generation, and has to be considered with charge times, charger capacity, in-car chargers, heating/cooling of the pack, etc. If the battery capacity were to double, then either the charge times approximately double from 4hrs+ to 8hrs+ for the 6.6kw chargers, and 30min to 1hr for DC chargers, or the charger capacity will need to be increased to 9.9kw or 13.2kw - both of which start to approach the maximum most houses could supply with 200A service. The longer charge times *may* also serve to spook some buyers. I'm sure there is a sweet spot in range that will make the cars acceptable to most ... the question is, what is that sweet spot - 200km? 250km? 300km? Time will tell. The Tesla with a range of 260km seems to be doing very well. The Soul EV with 150km/180km also seems to be breaking past objections other shorter range EVs had.
To me, the biggest risk to the value of an EV is manufacturer incentives. I didn't buy a Ford because of that ($12,750 rebate!) because those incentives significantly devalue resale value. So long as Kia does not discount the Soul EV to make it a California compliance car, it should retain reasonable values.
The buy/lease decision rests on other aspects too. At least in Canada, the lease rates are not incented as much as in the US. But also, for me at least, my annual driving is going to be in the 35,000km - 40,000km range (22k miles - 25k miles). The lease rate was actually more than the purchase payment ... so I bought it. So long as the battery does not give out, and the charging infrastructure continues to improve, I am not overly concerned. Also, as the charging infrastructure continues to improve, and more drive EVs, they will become more attractive to more buyers ... so long as manufacture's don't scare buyers away with excessive charge times, too short a range, too high a price, etc...